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Morning Briefing for pub, restaurant and food wervice operators

Wed 27th Nov 2024 - Update: M&B FY lfls up 5.3%, Just Eat to delist
M&B FY lfl sales up 5.3%, cost headwinds are now anticipated to total c£100m: Mitchells & Butlers (M&B), the Toby Carvery, Harvester and All Bar One operator, has reported a 5.3% increase in like-for-like sales in the year to 28 September 2024, as it said that cost headwinds are now anticipated to total circa £100m in this financial year, an increase of just over 5% on its current cost base. The company said that it had made a “strong start to FY 2025”, with like-for-like sales up 4% in the first seven weeks. For the year to 28 September 2024, the company reported total sales of £2.61bn reflecting 6.1% growth on FY 2023. Like-for-like sales increased by 5.3% with strong performances through the brand portfolio and continued out-performance against the market as a whole. It said that volumes of food and drink were in decline of circa 1.5% across the year. Adjusted pre-tax profit for the company stood at £211m (2023: £112m). The business said that operating profit, after separately disclosed items, of £300m reflected a “notable recovery” from last year (FY 2023 £98m) built on this strong sales performance coupled with falling cost inflation. Adjusted operating profit of £312m represents a £91m increase in profitability from last year. The company said: “We made a very good start to the year with like-for-like sales growth of 7.2% over the first seven weeks. Strong trading over the important festive period then led to an acceleration of like-for-like sales growth over the latter half of the quarter to 8.2%, resulting in overall like-for-like sales growth for the quarter of 7.7%. Sales remained strong through the second quarter particularly on key trading dates. Across the quarter, we recorded like-for-like sales growth of 6.1%, comprising drink sales growth of 5.3% and food sales growth of 6.6%, benefitting from the movement of Easter forward from the third quarter in the prior year. Over the third quarter like-for-like sales grew by 3.4%, adversely impacted by the movement of Easter, the easing of the inflationary environment and a period of generally wet weather. In the fourth quarter sales grew by 3.4% having been negatively impacted by riots in city centres during August, as well as an unseasonably cool and wet summer.” The company said that as it moves into FY 2025 it expects more normalised levels of sales growth as the inflationary environment eases. It said: “Cost headwinds are now anticipated to total circa £100m this financial year, an increase of just over 5% on our current cost base. Against a benign backdrop of general inflation (including food and drink inputs) by far the most significant increase is now expected to be in relation to labour costs due both to increases in the statutory National Living Wage and in the recently announced increase in employer national insurance contributions, both of which take effect from April 2025. We anticipate that energy costs this year, of which just over one half have been bought forward, will broadly stabilise overall with no further deflation, as has been seen in FY 2024. Notwithstanding future cost increases we feel that the business is in very good shape. Our balance sheet continues to strengthen, with reduced debt and a substantially de-risked pension surplus, and we expect to out-perform the market driving further profit growth in the year ahead.” Phil Urban, M&B chief executive, said: “We are delighted by the very strong performance during the year. Like-for-like sales continued to outperform the market which, coupled with easing inflationary costs and focus on efficiencies, has resulted in very strong profit recovery. We face increased inflationary cost headwinds in the year ahead. However, we shall remain focused on our established Ignite programme of initiatives and our successful capital investment programme, to drive further cost efficiencies and increased sales. Coupled with our market-leading estate and customer offers, we are confident that this will enable us to further grow market share and secure continued long-term outperformance.”

Premium Club members to receive updated segmented Multi-Site Database on Friday featuring 788 pub and bar operators:Premium Club members are to receive the updated Multi-Site Database on Friday (29 November). The next Propel Multi-Site Database provides details of 3,291 multi-site operators and is searchable in seven main segments. The database features 968 (29%) operators from the casual dining sector, 788 (24%) pub and bar operators, 556 (17%) cafe bakery operators, 450 (14%) quick service restaurant operators, 270 (8%) hotel operators, 206 (6%) experiential leisure operators and 54 (2%) fine dining operators. The database is updated each month, and this edition includes 31 new companies. The database includes new companies in the pub and bar sector such as Pretty Decent Beer Co, operating taprooms across London, Irish pub concept Nancy Spain’s, and Henley Pub Co, the independently back company from Henry Day. Premium Club members also receive access to five additional databases: the New Openings Database,the Turnover & Profits Blue Book, the UK Food and Beverage Franchisor Database, the UK Food and Beverage Franchisee Database and the Who's Who of UK Hospitality. All Premium Clubs members will be offered a 20% discount on tickets to Propel paid-for events including Restaurant Marketer and Innovator (two days in January 2025) and Excellence in Pub Retail (May 2025). Operators that are Premium Club members are also able to send up to four members of staff to each of our four Multi-Club Conferences for free. Premium Club members receive their daily Propel Info newsletter 11 hours earlier than standard subscribers, at 7pm the evening before. They also receive videos of presentations at eight Propel conference events two weeks after they are held. This represents around 100 videos of industry insight over the course of the year. Premium Club members will be sent a dedicated monthly newsletter that will highlight key updates in the sector and direct subscribers to all the vital content their membership offers. Premium Club members also receive exclusive opinion columns every Friday at 5pm, which include the thoughts of Propel group editor Mark Wingett and a host of industry leaders from across the sector. A Premium Club subscription costs an annual sum of £495 plus VAT for operators and £595 plus VAT for suppliers. Companies can now have an unlimited number of people receive access to Premium Club for a year for £995 plus VAT – whether they are an operator or supplier. Email kai.kirkman@propelinfo.com today to sign up.

Just Eat to delist from London Stock Exchange: Just Eat has announced its intention to delist from the London Stock Exchange (LSE). The company said: “Further to its previous announcements on 8 February 2022 and 19 December 2022, the company has recommenced and continued its review to determine optimal listing venues. As part of this review, the company has considered, amongst other things, the liquidity and trading volumes, as well as cost and administrative requirements related to its primary listing in Amsterdam and secondary listing in London. Following this review, the company hereby gives notice that, in order to reduce the administrative burden, complexity and costs associated with the disclosure and regulatory requirements of maintaining the LSE listing, and in the context of low liquidity and trading volumes of the shares on the LSE, it has requested that the FCA cancel the listing of the shares on the equity shares international commercial companies secondary listing category of the Official List of the FCA, and the LSE cancel the admission to trading of the shares on the main market for listed securities of the LSE.” It is intended that the LSE delisting will become effective from 8am on 27 December 2024, such that the last date of trading of the company’s shares on the LSE will be 24 December 2024. Following the LSE delisting, the company will maintain the primary listing of its shares on Euronext Amsterdam.

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