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Morning Briefing for pub, restaurant and food wervice operators

Wed 9th Oct 2024 - Update: Marston’s lfls up 4.8%, management change at HOP, XP Factory
Marston’s FY lfl sales up 4.8%: Marston’s, the operator of 1,339 pubs, has reported a 4.8% rise in like-for-like sales for the 52 weeks to 28 September 2024, with food and drink occasions having “shown good momentum”. The company said that total retail sales in the its managed and franchised pubs for the 52-week period were 5.8% higher than the prior year, with the growth in like-for-like sales of 4.8% “outperforming the broader market”. It said that both food and drink occasions have shown “good momentum”, with food sales particularly encouraging as its “high-quality offering and simplified menus have resonated well with guests”. It said that in the 13-week period ending 28 September 2024, like-for-like sales increased 3.8%, which the company described as “a strong result that comes despite the very wet weather towards the end of the period”. The business said that food sales in this period performed “exceptionally well, a positive indicator as we approach the festive season”. The company said: “The strong trading performance and growth ahead of the broader market, coupled with the continued focus on driving cost efficiencies, gives management confidence in delivering pub profitability in line with market consensus for FY24.” The company said that the combination of its strong trading performance, its disposals strategy, the sale of its 40% share in CMBC, and the CMBC dividend received for H1 has enabled a material reduction in net debt. Management expects net debt (excluding IFRS 16 lease liabilities) for the full year to be approximately £885m, equating to a reduction of circa £300m on FY23, which it said underscored the group’s ability to “strategically deleverage whilst continuing to deliver growth”. Justin Platt, chief executive, said: “The strong revenue performance is very pleasing. This reflects the quality of the experiences we are providing for our guests as well as the continued focus and passion of our team. This performance, combined with our recent disposal of CMBC puts Marston’s in a strong position to drive value for our shareholders as a focused pub business. We look forward to sharing more about the Marston’s growth opportunity at our investor day next week.”

Premium Club members to receive two updated databases this week: Premium Club members will receive two updated databases this week. The latest Propel UK Food & Beverage Franchisor Database will be sent out today (Wednesday, 9 October), at midday. It will have 12 new entries, while two which are no longer franchising have been removed. Among the new entries are French bagel brand Bagelstein, family pub business Ale Hub, London comfort food business Smoke & Pepper and Manchester halal barbecue smokehouse business Pitmaster. The database now has 270 entries and more than 150,000 words of content. The next Propel New Openings Database will then be sent on Friday (11 October). The database will show the details of 216 site openings, including which company has opened a site or its plans to open one in the future. Premium Club members will also receive a 11,941-word report on the 216 new additions to the database. The database includes new openings in the cafe bakery sector such as an opening from Astrid’s Bakery in London’s Muswell Hill, Reeve the Baker with an opening in Dorset and Rosita’s, a Welsh-Italian café bar opening in Caerphilly. Premium Club members will also be sent the videos from this month’s Talent & Training Conference on Friday, 18 October, at 9am. Premium Club members also receive access to four other databases: the Turnover & Profits Blue Book, the Multi-Site Database, the UK Food and Beverage Franchisee Database and the Who’s Who of UK Hospitality. All Premium Clubs members will be offered a 20% discount on tickets to Propel paid-for events including the Restaurant Marketer and Innovator (two days in January 2025) and Excellence in Pub Retail (May 2025). Operators that are Premium Club members are also able to send up to four members of staff to each of our four Multi-Club Conferences for free. Premium Club members receive their daily Propel Info newsletter 11 hours earlier than standard subscribers, at 7pm the evening before. They also receive videos of presentations at eight Propel conference events two weeks after they are held. This represents around 100 videos of industry insight over the course of the year. Premium Club members will be sent a dedicated monthly newsletter that will highlight key updates in the sector and direct subscribers to all the vital content their membership offers. Premium Club members also receive exclusive opinion columns every Friday at 5pm, which include the thoughts of Propel group editor Mark Wingett and a host of industry leaders from across the sector. A Premium Club subscription costs an annual sum of £495 plus VAT for operators and £595 plus VAT for suppliers. Companies can now have an unlimited number of people receive access to Premium Club for a year for £995 plus VAT – whether they are an operator or supplier. Email kai.kirkman@propelinfo.com today to sign up.

Paul Hopper to resume founder and MD role at HOP as Richard Franks steps down: Vietnamese street food concept HOP has announced that founder Paul Hopper has taken on the role of founder and managing director as current managing director Richard Franks steps down. The company said the news follows discussions between the two about the five-strong group’s strategy following the recent opening of its flagship Manchester city centre restaurant, and as it looks ahead at new openings over the coming months. Franks, the former managing director of Chilango, was brought onboard to oversee a rapid expansion of the chain’s mainly London City-based portfolio. However, the company pivoted strategy, preferring to refine its core business over significantly increasing the size of its portfolio. The business said the strategy, which saw the brand refine its menu offer, strengthen its core team, open its first out of London restaurants, and launch its first all day, seven-day locations, has paid dividends with profitability increasing at all locations. Hopper said: “Richard’s two-year tenure as managing director has been transformational for the business. Implementing growth structures and systems, building the senior team and improving the day-to-day operations has laid strong foundations for HOP’s future. We took a decision to spend the last two years getting our core offer and team right, in favour of our original plan to open five to ten locations per year. I’m pleased that this decision is paying off – we know so much more about our business than ever before, and this has put us in a fantastic position to open new sites next year. We will continue to refine our offer and learn more about our guests’ needs over the next 12-18 months before we look to ramp up our openings, with a view to opening two to three further locations in 2025. I want to thank Richard for the invaluable part he is played in our journey. His dedication, expertise, and leadership have been instrumental in transforming HOP into what it is today, and I am immensely grateful for his contribution.” Franks said: “I could not be more proud of the journey we have taken over the last two years at HOP. In that time, we have worked our socks off to put in place the processes, structures and teams to allow the business to grow. It has been important for the senior team to take a cautious approach to its restaurant opening strategy, making sure we are able to consistently serve the best quality, fresh food to guests around the country. Paul’s passion and dedication to the fantastic brand he founded is clear to see and I am absolutely certain that he is the right person to see it through this next period in its history. I am convinced that HOP’s future is bright and that it will soon become a household name. I will, of course, be rooting for Paul and the team from the sidelines and I am excited about what’s next for me.” Last month, HOP doubled its presence in Manchester with an opening in the city’s The Arndale scheme. Spread over two floors and positioned opposite the city’s Royal Exchange, the site is the brand’s biggest opening outside London to date. HOP, which also operates sites in London’s Moorgate and St Paul’s, debuted its new all-day, seven-day a week format last summer in Bond Street, in the West One shopping centre. It is also understood to be in talks to open a site in King’s Cross.

XP Factory secures new £10m banking facility: XP Factory, which operates the Escape Hunt and Boom Battle Bar brands, has secured a new £10m revolving credit facility (RCF) provided by Barclays, which will aid the speed of its expansion. The company said the facility increases its flexibility and capacity to grow both the Escape Hunt and Boom estates, provides additional working capital headroom, and will enable the company to refinance an existing £1m debt facility at significantly lower borrowing costs. It said the facility has been secured on the strength of the underlying cash generation in the business. In the 15 months to 31 March 2024, XP Factory said it delivered £6.5m of free cash flow after maintenance capex, representing an annualised yield of 24% based on the company’s current market capitalisation of £21.9m. It said that over and above this strong organic cash generation, the RCF will allow the group to more actively manage and accelerate its expansion of the Boom Battle Bar and Escape Hunt networks. The group has £22.3m of carried forward tax losses which together with future capital allowances from expansion in the estate “provides significant future benefits before corporation tax will become payable”. Historically, investments into new sites within the Boom and Escape Hunt networks have generated returns on capital of 52% and 48% per annum respectively. Richard Harpham, chief executive of XP Factory, said “Securing this new RCF represents an important milestone for the group. Not only is it a strong endorsement of the progress made in the last few years, but it will significantly enhance our ability and confidence to add further venues to our two fast growing brands. Our existing cash generation supports around five to six new site openings per annum. Although there will not be any impact in the current financial year, with the facility in place we have the ability to increase the pace of roll out in 2025 and beyond whilst maintaining conservative debt ratios.”

Graduates shun bosses who don’t offer WFH: Nearly half of all graduates and final-year university students would not apply for jobs that require attendance in a central office five days a week, a new study suggests. The Times reports the research by IWG, the FTSE 250 flexible offices provider, found another 18% of younger workers “unsure” whether they would work for companies that refuse to allow any working from home. This leaves firms insisting on full-time office attendance with only 33% of the graduate talent pool to choose from, IWG calculated. Businesses, including Amazon, PwC, and Santander, have been enforcing stricter in-office requirements. Amazon ordered staff back to the office five days a week from January. The survey, conducted among 1,000 students and recent graduates, found that while salary remained the top priority for three-quarters of graduates, more than half (54%) ranked hybrid working of equal importance. It was also deemed more important than workplace culture, access to health insurance and a good pension scheme. Graduates equated hybrid working with a 13% salary increase due to the savings on commuting and housing costs. Even so, 63% of those surveyed said they believed time in the office was necessary to work collaboratively and learn from colleagues. Analysis by the Office for National Statistics suggests that around 13% of employees work from home full time, with 36% permanently office based and the rest dividing their time between the two.

Supermarket bills edge higher as shoppers feel pinch: British shoppers felt more strain on their household budgets last month as the cost of supermarket bills edged up. The Times reports that annual grocery price inflation rose to 2% in the four weeks to the end of September, from 1.7% in the prior four-week period, according to Kantar, the market researcher. The data showed prices had risen fastest in products such as chilled soft drinks, chocolate confectionery and skincare, while prices fell in household paper products, dog food and cat food. Official data published last month showed overall UK inflation had stayed flat at 2.2% in August. Figures for September will be published next week. The Kantar data also showed that UK grocery sales had risen 2% in value terms over the four weeks, year-on-year, compared with 3% the month before. Spending on promoted items rose by 7.4% in September as households sought to manage their finances. By comparison, full price sales nudged up by 0.3%. Despite the annual rate of grocery inflation growing, the contest between the grocers to attract shoppers through their doors has led to prices being rolled back on some essentials. “In the fiercely competitive retail sector, the battle for value is on,” Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said.

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